(02) Trajectory Assessment
I don't have a problem today, but I sense it won't last.
SDI intervenes before the problem is visible, when regulatory, reputational, or institutional pressure exists but has not yet materialised into a crisis, a complaint, or a headline. The value of the assessment is not to trigger action at all costs, but to determine whether the trajectory is real or hypothetical, how fast it is moving, and whether the moment to act is now or not yet.
The recommendation may be to move. It may be to wait. But the decision is made by leadership, not by events.

Examples of Assignments
1. Translating ESG Constraints into Board-Level Language
The COO sees the trajectory. The board sees cost with no return.
A Japanese industrial group's COO has understood before the rest of the executive committee that the firm's ESG profile is becoming a concrete liability. Development financiers are increasingly conditioning co-financing on environmental and social performance standards the firm does not yet meet. MSCI is reviewing the firm's rating. European partners are beginning to signal that continued collaboration will depend on supply-chain transparency improvements. The COO sees the trajectory. The board sees cost with no return. A major strategy firm has proposed in-depth diagnostics. The board has shelved it twice.
SDI, drawing on direct experience of how international ESG and safeguard standards are actually set and applied, produces what the COO actually needs. The deliverable is a concise, economically grounded note that translates each ESG gap into a specific business consequence: lost co-financing, rating downgrade, partnership at risk. With a timeline and a concrete threshold beyond which inaction becomes more expensive than action. Not a transformation programme. A decision document.
2. Disclosure Under Multilateral Exposure
A local partner has been making facilitation payments. The firm's involvement is indirect. The MDB has not asked questions. Yet.
An engineering firm discovers that a local partner on a multilateral-financed infrastructure project in Southeast Asia has been making facilitation payments to expedite permits. The MDB's anti-corruption framework is unambiguous. But the firm's own involvement is indirect. The payments were made without its knowledge, through a subcontracting layer. Legal counsel says the firm's exposure is limited. The compliance department wants to self-report immediately. The country manager warns that disclosure will destroy the relationship with the local partner and halt the project. The MDB has not asked questions. Nothing is public. Yet.
SDI, drawing on direct knowledge of how multilateral institutions handle integrity cases internally, helps leadership determine whether, when, and through which channel to disclose. Before the institution discovers the issue on its own terms and the firm loses control of the narrative, the project, and its standing with the lender, with potential cross-debarment across the multilateral system.
3. Financial Integrity — Decision Under Incomplete Information
A company is about to commit to a partnership, a market, or a significant transaction. The commercial logic is sound. The due diligence has not surfaced a clear red flag. But a payment in the structure routes through an entity in a jurisdiction that has no obvious operational link to the transaction. It may be perfectly normal: a legacy banking arrangement, a tax structure, a local market practice. Or it may be the sign that something has been designed not to be seen. The compliance team says the entity is not on any list. The lawyer says the structure is not illegal. Neither answers the question the executive actually has: is this normal?
SDI sends someone who has spent a career reading exactly these situations from the enforcement side. Someone whose professional instinct was shaped by years of identifying what looks wrong before it can be proven wrong. The assessment is not an audit. It is not a legal opinion. It is a prompt judgment call from someone whose nose was trained on the other side of the table. The response the firm would get from its own staff, had it someone with that experience within its team.
Something doesn't feel right. There is not enough to raise a flag. There is too much to ignore. A decision must be made.
4. Supply Chain Exposure — Weak Signal Assessment
A manufacturer's COO has been told by the country manager that a key supplier in Southeast Asia is attracting attention for labour practices. The supplier is reliable, competitively priced, and deeply embedded in the firm's production chain. No incident has occurred. No journalist has called. No client has complained. But the country manager keeps hearing it.
Internally, the positions are predictable and irreconcilable. Compliance recommends a full audit and, if necessary, suspension of the relationship. The CFO warns that switching suppliers would erode margins and depress near-term results. The COO knows that doing nothing may prove indefensible and that when the facts decide for him, it will cost him at best his bonus, at worst his seat.
SDI provides a rapid, independent assessment that gives the COO what he needs to move or to wait on a defensible basis. What is the minimum credible move that addresses the exposure without destroying the commercial relationship, and what is the cost of waiting one more quarter versus acting now.
The rumour has reached the COO. Compliance says audit everything. The CFO sees margin erosion.